Hardware is still hard-ish
I have been close to the energy sector for the last 12+ years. One of the challenges of the space is that physical systems do not follow Moore’s law. A result of this is that the leverage to scaling hardware businesses is not as high as it is for software. This makes venture math more difficult.
While hardware marginal costs do not go to zero, the result of the effort can create a reasonably effective moat (unless China decides to target your sector, a post for another time). The places where companies have been successful is utilizing software and the Moore’s law-type effects to create physical things. It is on this software/hardware frontier that AI has been an incredible leverage point. I have seen this in my own work and am eager to see it permeating the entire space.
Like many curious minds, I have experimented with tons of different AIs. Claude code, Cursor/Windsurf, Gemini (my...